Progression of liver fibrosis in HIV/hepatitis C virus-coinfected individuals on antiretroviral therapy with early stages of liver fibrosis at baseline.

Methods: Liver fibrosis was reassessed by transient elastometry (TE) between January 2009 and November 2011 in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients with stage F0-F2 fibrosis in a liver biopsy performed between January 1997 and December 2007. Patients with liver stiffness at the end of follow-up  7.1 kPa were defined as nonprogressors, and those with values ≥ 9.5 kPa or who died from liver disease were defined as progressors. Cirrhosis was defined as a cut-off of 14.6 kPa. The follow-up period was the time between liver biopsy and TE. Cox regression models adjusted for age, gender and liver fibrosis stage at baseline were applied.

Results: The median follow-up time was 7.8 years [interquartile range (IQR) 5.5-10 years]. The study population comprised 162 patients [115 (71%) nonprogressors and 47 (29%) progressors; 19 patients (11.7%) had cirrhosis]. The median time from the diagnosis of HCV infection to the end of follow-up was 20 years (IQR 16.3-23.1 years). Three progressors died from liver disease (1.8%). The variables associated with a lower risk of progression were age ≤ 38 years (hazard ratio (HR) 0.32; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.16-0.62; P = 0.001], having received interferon (HR 2.18; 95% CI 1.14-4.15; P = 0.017), being hepatitis B virus surface antigen (HBsAg) negative (HR 0.20; 95% CI 0.04-0.92; P = 0.039), and baseline F0-F1 (HR 0.43; 95% CI 0.28-0.86; P = 0.017).

Conclusion: The median follow-up time was 7.8 years [interquartile range (IQR) 5.5-10 years]. The study population comprised 162 patients [115 (71%) nonprogressors and 47 (29%) progressors; 19 patients (11.7%) had cirrhosis]. The median time from the diagnosis of HCV infection to the end of follow-up was 20 years (IQR 16.3-23.1 years). Three progressors died from liver disease (1.8%). The variables associated with a lower risk of progression were age ≤ 38 years (hazard ratio (HR) 0.32; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.16-0.62; P = 0.001], having received interferon (HR 2.18; 95% CI 1.14-4.15; P = 0.017), being hepatitis B virus surface antigen (HBsAg) negative (HR 0.20; 95% CI 0.04-0.92; P = 0.039), and baseline F0-F1 (HR 0.43; 95% CI 0.28-0.86; P = 0.017).